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    Disciplines / Research questions

    政治学

    10 个研究主题 · 26 个问题

    否决点数量与政策稳定性之间的非线性关系1 个问题

    1. Do Legislative Pivots and Presidential Powers Determine Policy Stability in Presidential Systems? The Unresolved Test of Spatial Models of Lawmaking

    经济制裁成功率中的目标选择偏误2 个问题

    1. Selection bias in sanctions-effectiveness estimation: measuring threatened-but-not-imposed economic sanctions and the unconditional success of economic coercion

    2. From Robust Correlates to Causal Theory: Modeling Stage-Specific Selection in the Determinants of Economic Sanctions Success

    联盟承诺可信度与被抛弃—被牵连困境2 个问题

    1. Trajectory of the US-Japan alliance under Japanese hedging: strategic autonomy, minilateralisation, and US commitment uncertainty in the Asia-Pacific

    2. Open questions on the robustness and consequences of THAAD's alliance-sustaining role on the Korean peninsula: extended-deterrence credibility, countermeasures, Chinese responses, and Seoul's entrapment trade-off

    民粹主义定义与跨国测量不一致3 个问题

    1. Validity and refinement of the Global Party Survey's expert-based measure of party populist rhetoric across countries and over time

    2. Validated, conceptually complete, and cross-lingually equivalent text-based measurement of populism in party texts

    3. Cross-nationally comparable measurement of populist attitudes: achieving scalar invariance, full trait coverage, and regime-robust validity for survey batteries

    民主倒退是渐进制度侵蚀还是突发断裂4 个问题

    1. The pace of democratic breakdown: is the gradual-erosion versus sudden-rupture distinction substantively real, and does it matter for outcomes?

    2. Varieties of Democratic Backsliding and Their Consequences: Incremental Institutional Erosion, Successor-Regime Outcomes

    3. What distinguishes democratic recessions that halt and reverse from those that descend into deep authoritarianism, and how can gradual autocratization be stopped and reversed?

    4. Democratic breakdown and erosion: testing the strategic account's predictions on institutions, media, and partisanship, and whether established constraints such as those of the United States hold

    民主和平论在政体转型期例外的解释4 个问题

    1. State Failure versus Democratizing Nationalism: The Causes of Civil War in Incomplete Democratic Transitions and the Illiberal Legacy of Democratizing without Institutions

    2. The Dimension-Specific Scandinavian Exception: Explaining Peaceful Constraints-and-Liberties Reforms amid Volatile Electoral Democratization

    3. Are Incomplete Democratizers with Weak Institutions Externally Belligerent? Adjudicating the Democratization–War Hypothesis with Validated Measures, Coding Protocols, and Broader Outcome Forms

    4. The Transition-Period Exception to the Democratic Peace: Whether, How, and Under What Institutional Conditions Regime Transitions Raise the Risk of Armed Conflict

    网络政治极化由精英线索还是基层分选驱动2 个问题

    1. Causally identifying the pathway from media choice and elite polarization to mass partisan-ideological sorting (open questions of Davis & Dunaway 2016)

    2. Causal disentanglement of the emotion-network-distance relationship in online political discourse: does network structure drive affective polarization, does emotion reshape structure, or both?

    威慑失败案例中的事后归因偏差1 个问题

    1. Validating causal attributions of deterrence failures against contemporaneous evidence and explicit operational criteria

    选举制度对政党碎片化影响的制度边界4 个问题

    1. A general predictive account of Duverger's two effects of district magnitude: small-party seat-entry thresholds and the institutional conditions of the psychological effect

    2. Boundary conditions of Duverger's district-level theory: direct district-level cleavage measurement, electoral-formula coverage, and contagion in party-system fragmentation

    3. Democratic experience and electoral coordination in mixed-member systems: the mechanism and dynamics of the MMM fragmentation premium in young democracies

    4. Unresolved mechanisms behind district-level violations of Duverger's Law: contamination in mixed-member systems, persistent plurality fragmentation in Canada, India, and the United Kingdom, and the effect of democratic inexperience

    资源财富对政体稳定影响的条件性3 个问题

    1. Causal mechanisms and regime-type endogeneity in the effect of natural resource wealth on political survival

    2. Causally identifying the operational-nationalization pathway from government oil revenues to leadership survival

    3. Resource dependence and the conditional persistence of unrestrictive institutions: the untested empirical core of Wiens's model of the political resource curse

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