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    Disciplines / Research questions

    Political science

    10 research topics · 26 questions

    Nonlinear Relationship Between Number of Veto Points and Policy Stability1 questions

    1. Do Legislative Pivots and Presidential Powers Determine Policy Stability in Presidential Systems? The Unresolved Test of Spatial Models of Lawmaking

    Target Selection Bias in the Success Rate of Economic Sanctions2 questions

    1. Selection bias in sanctions-effectiveness estimation: measuring threatened-but-not-imposed economic sanctions and the unconditional success of economic coercion

    2. From Robust Correlates to Causal Theory: Modeling Stage-Specific Selection in the Determinants of Economic Sanctions Success

    Credibility of alliance commitments and the abandonment–entrapment dilemma2 questions

    1. Trajectory of the US-Japan alliance under Japanese hedging: strategic autonomy, minilateralisation, and US commitment uncertainty in the Asia-Pacific

    2. Open questions on the robustness and consequences of THAAD's alliance-sustaining role on the Korean peninsula: extended-deterrence credibility, countermeasures, Chinese responses, and Seoul's entrapment trade-off

    Inconsistencies in Populism Definition and Cross-National Measurement3 questions

    1. Validity and refinement of the Global Party Survey's expert-based measure of party populist rhetoric across countries and over time

    2. Validated, conceptually complete, and cross-lingually equivalent text-based measurement of populism in party texts

    3. Cross-nationally comparable measurement of populist attitudes: achieving scalar invariance, full trait coverage, and regime-robust validity for survey batteries

    Whether Democratic Backsliding Is Gradual Institutional Erosion or Sudden Rupture4 questions

    1. The pace of democratic breakdown: is the gradual-erosion versus sudden-rupture distinction substantively real, and does it matter for outcomes?

    2. Varieties of Democratic Backsliding and Their Consequences: Incremental Institutional Erosion, Successor-Regime Outcomes

    3. What distinguishes democratic recessions that halt and reverse from those that descend into deep authoritarianism, and how can gradual autocratization be stopped and reversed?

    4. Democratic breakdown and erosion: testing the strategic account's predictions on institutions, media, and partisanship, and whether established constraints such as those of the United States hold

    Exceptions to the Democratic Peace Theory During Regime Transitions4 questions

    1. State Failure versus Democratizing Nationalism: The Causes of Civil War in Incomplete Democratic Transitions and the Illiberal Legacy of Democratizing without Institutions

    2. The Dimension-Specific Scandinavian Exception: Explaining Peaceful Constraints-and-Liberties Reforms amid Volatile Electoral Democratization

    3. Are Incomplete Democratizers with Weak Institutions Externally Belligerent? Adjudicating the Democratization–War Hypothesis with Validated Measures, Coding Protocols, and Broader Outcome Forms

    4. The Transition-Period Exception to the Democratic Peace: Whether, How, and Under What Institutional Conditions Regime Transitions Raise the Risk of Armed Conflict

    Whether Online Political Polarization Is Driven by Elite Cues or Grassroots Sorting2 questions

    1. Causally identifying the pathway from media choice and elite polarization to mass partisan-ideological sorting (open questions of Davis & Dunaway 2016)

    2. Causal disentanglement of the emotion-network-distance relationship in online political discourse: does network structure drive affective polarization, does emotion reshape structure, or both?

    Hindsight Bias in Cases of Deterrence Failure1 questions

    1. Validating causal attributions of deterrence failures against contemporaneous evidence and explicit operational criteria

    Institutional Boundaries of Electoral Systems’ Effect on Party Fragmentation4 questions

    1. A general predictive account of Duverger's two effects of district magnitude: small-party seat-entry thresholds and the institutional conditions of the psychological effect

    2. Boundary conditions of Duverger's district-level theory: direct district-level cleavage measurement, electoral-formula coverage, and contagion in party-system fragmentation

    3. Democratic experience and electoral coordination in mixed-member systems: the mechanism and dynamics of the MMM fragmentation premium in young democracies

    4. Unresolved mechanisms behind district-level violations of Duverger's Law: contamination in mixed-member systems, persistent plurality fragmentation in Canada, India, and the United Kingdom, and the effect of democratic inexperience

    Conditional Effects of Resource Wealth on Regime Stability3 questions

    1. Causal mechanisms and regime-type endogeneity in the effect of natural resource wealth on political survival

    2. Causally identifying the operational-nationalization pathway from government oil revenues to leadership survival

    3. Resource dependence and the conditional persistence of unrestrictive institutions: the untested empirical core of Wiens's model of the political resource curse

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