Rovelli's minimal thermodynamic model of agency (arXiv:2007.05300, 2020) describes an agent as a system A at temperature , with heat capacity and long thermalization time , interacting weakly and occasionally (cadence ) with a colder world W at composed of N weakly coupled subsystems. Each interaction dissipatively selects one of N macroscopic alternatives, generating bits of information at an entropy cost , so that , with a minimal binary choice requiring . The model is deliberately minimal and has never been quantitatively connected to real agents: no mapping of concrete physical agents (biological organisms, brains, engineered devices) onto the model's parameters exists, no empirical estimates of those parameters, and no validation of the bound against real systems. The problem is to build this quantitative bridge — instantiate the model for concrete agents, estimate its parameters empirically, and determine whether the bound, or a needed refinement of the minimal model, actually governs agency-driven information generation in nature. The quantitative core has remained untouched in the literature, including Rovelli's own 2024 follow-up.
Background
In the physics of macroscopic irreversibility, an agent is any subsystem whose detailed dynamics we choose to disregard in a coarse-grained description, so that its 'choices' appear as unpredictable branchings of the macroscopic evolution. Rovelli's 'Agency in Physics' (2020) asks what makes such branching possible, why it is oriented toward the future, and where the information generated by a choice comes from, answering all three thermodynamically. The time orientation is traced to the second law together with the past hypothesis — the assumption that the entropy of the early universe was very low, which underlies the macroscopic arrow of time and is taken as a given input, not explained. The generation of information is traced to entropy growth, in the neighborhood of Landauer's principle (the established result that erasing one bit of information dissipates at least of energy at temperature , where is Boltzmann's constant). The paper's core is a minimal model adapted from Rovelli's companion work 'Memory and Entropy' (2022): an agent A, a system at temperature with heat capacity (the proportionality between its thermal energy and temperature) and a long thermalization time (the timescale over which it equilibrates with its surroundings), interacts only occasionally — on average once every seconds — and weakly () with a world W at a lower temperature that is itself composed of subsystems which re-equilibrate quickly among themselves (). At each interaction, heat flows from the hotter agent to one randomly met subsystem of the colder world, raising that subsystem's macroscopic energy above the others: the interaction has thereby irreversibly selected one among macroscopic alternatives, producing bits of Shannon information (the logarithm of the number of equiprobable alternatives) at an entropy cost
Since information 'must come from somewhere', the necessary condition yields the bound
and in the minimal case of a binary choice (, ) the excess thermal energy of the agent must exceed the per-degree-of-freedom thermal energy of the world: . A non-vanishing temperature difference is thus a structural requirement for choice. Rovelli argues that quantum mechanics does not alter this thermodynamic account (quantum indeterminism reaches the macro-world only through decoherence, which is itself based on disregarding degrees of freedom), but develops no detailed quantum-statistical treatment; and he conjectures, speculatively, that this agency/memory mechanism converting low entropy into macroscopic information may be the principal source of the information exploited by biology and culture. The model is explicitly presented as minimal and illustrative: nowhere are the parameters , , , , , estimated for any real agent, nor is the bound confronted with data from organisms, brains, or engineered devices.
Problem Statement
Establish the quantitative applicability of the minimal thermodynamic model of agency (Rovelli 2020) to concrete physical agents — biological organisms, brains, and engineered devices. Specifically: (i) construct an explicit mapping of such an agent and its environment onto the model's variables — the agent's effective temperature and heat capacity , the world's temperature , the thermalization times and , the interaction cadence , and the identifiable discrete choice events with their numbers of alternatives ; (ii) estimate these parameters empirically for concrete real systems, with stated data sources and uncertainties; (iii) test whether the information generated in the agents' actual choices is bounded by the associated entropy production as the model requires — through the bound and the structural requirements , , and the minimal binary condition (where and is Boltzmann's constant) — and establish that the test is non-vacuous, i.e. that it discriminates the minimal agency mechanism from generic second-law/Landauer bookkeeping rather than being satisfied by default; and (iv) where the minimal model fails to describe real agents, determine what refinement of it (e.g. coupling to non-thermal resources such as chemical potentials or light, multiple interaction channels) is required. Deliverables (i)-(iii) are required; deliverable (iv) is required only where the minimal model fails to describe the agents examined; and the empirical estimation (ii) must cover at least one well-characterised system in each of the three agent classes. The past hypothesis remains an input, as in the source. The common objective of all deliverables is a single quantitative answer: whether the entropy-to-information mechanism of the minimal model actually governs agency-driven information generation in real physical agents, at what scales, and with what accuracy.
References
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