The hard-core model (nearest-neighbor exclusion lattice gas) on the integer lattice has a phase transition: at low fugacity the infinite-volume Gibbs measure is unique, while at high fugacity two extremal Gibbs measures appear, ordered on the even and on the odd sublattice. Writing and for the lower and upper critical fugacities, the best current bounds are , from Weitz's strong-spatial-mixing tree threshold, and , from Hadas and Peled (2026); they conjecture as , which would make the lattice threshold coincide at leading order with the regular-tree threshold. The open core of this question is: (i) determine the sharp first-order asymptotics of and , in particular prove or refute ; and (ii) determine whether , i.e. whether the transition occurs at a single critical fugacity. No resolution is known in the literature to date.
Background
The hard-core model is the simplest lattice gas with an excluded-volume constraint: on a finite graph its configurations are independent sets (subsets of vertices with no two adjacent, i.e. no two occupied vertices are neighbors), weighted by , where the parameter is the fugacity (activity) of a particle; the normalizing partition function is the weighted generating function of independent sets. On the integer lattice the model is defined in infinite volume through Gibbs measures: probability measures on whose finite-volume conditional distributions obey the same exclusion rule with fugacity (the Dobrushin-Lanford-Ruelle specification).
Since is bipartite, with vertex set partitioned by the parity of the coordinate sum into an even and an odd sublattice , the model exhibits chessboard-type order at high fugacity: a typical configuration occupies essentially only one sublattice. Dobrushin (1968) proved that for every the model has a phase transition: for sufficiently large there are two distinct extremal (infinite-volume) Gibbs measures , obtained as infinite-volume limits with even and odd boundary conditions (in which every vertex of the even, respectively odd, sublattice outside the finite region is declared occupied), while for sufficiently small the Gibbs measure is unique. By standard monotonicity of the specification in its boundary conditions, multiple Gibbs measures exist if and only if (van den Berg and Steif), so one may define
with .
Two facts frame the high-dimensional asymptotics. First, on any graph of maximum degree the model exhibits strong spatial mixing (the influence of a boundary condition on a vertex decays with its distance from the region where boundary conditions differ) whenever ; this is Weitz's theorem, and the bound is sharp since the threshold is exact for the -regular tree. Strong spatial mixing implies uniqueness of the Gibbs measure, so since has degree and , one has the lower bound . Second, matching upper bounds proved far harder. Dobrushin's argument gives only an exponentially large bound on . Galvin and Kahn (2004), building on Kahn's entropy method (2001) for bipartite graphs, showed and wrote that natural guesses for the correct order are or ; Peled and Samotij (2014) improved this to . Hadas and Peled (2026) proved long-range order for the hard-core model on finite regular bipartite graphs satisfying mild expansion conditions - in particular on the -dimensional hypercube and discrete tori at fugacities for some constant - and transferred the conclusion to using reflection positivity (an argument exploiting invariance of the lattice under reflections in coordinate hyperplanes). They thereby established that multiple Gibbs measures exist on for every , i.e. , leaving a factor- gap to the tree lower bound, and they conjecture .
Independently of the constant, it is not known whether the transition is unique. While is expected (the analogous uniqueness of the critical point holds for the Ising model), this is open for every , and Brightwell, Häggström and Winkler (1999) constructed other infinite graphs on which the hard-core model has several critical points, so a split transition is a genuine logical possibility outside amenable graphs; separately, first-order transitions have recently been proved on biregular trees (Davies, Sandhu and Tan 2026), at a single critical fugacity rather than a split one.
Problem Statement
Determine the phase transition of the hard-core model on the integer lattice in the high-dimensional limit. With and defined as above (the infimum of fugacities with multiple Gibbs measures and the supremum of fugacities with a unique Gibbs measure, respectively), resolve the following two linked questions, which together fix both the location and the structure of the transition:
- Sharp asymptotics. Prove or refute the conjecture of Hadas and Peled (2026) that
together with the corresponding sharp first-order asymptotics of , which is known to satisfy . In particular, determine whether exists and equals , and analogously for .
- Uniqueness of the transition. Determine whether , i.e. whether there is a single critical fugacity separating the uniqueness regime from the phase-coexistence regime on , or whether intermediate fugacities with a re-emergent unique phase or additional transitions can occur, as they do on some other infinite graphs.
A complete answer establishes the first-order asymptotic behavior of both critical fugacities and settles the coincidence question in either direction; in keeping with the high-dimensional framing, these statements are required to hold for all sufficiently large (the coincidence question of part 2 is likewise open for every fixed , and a proof valid for every is also complete). Results restricted to other graphs (regular or biregular trees, general finite regular bipartite graphs, the hypercube, or discrete tori without a transfer to ) do not by themselves resolve the problem; an answer for the lattice may of course be obtained through such graphs if the transfer is rigorously executed.
References
- Daniel Hadas, Ron Peled, On the critical fugacity of the hard-core model on regular bipartite graphs, arXiv:2603.27144 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.27144
- R. L. Dobrushin, The problem of uniqueness of a Gibbsian random field and the problem of phase transitions, Functional Analysis and Its Applications 2 (1968) 302-312, doi:10.1007/BF01075682. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01075682
- J. van den Berg, J. E. Steif, Percolation and the hard-core lattice gas model, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 49 (1994) 179-197, doi:10.1016/0304-4149(94)90132-5. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4149(94)90132-5
- Jeff Kahn, An entropy approach to the hard-core model on bipartite graphs, Combinatorics, Probability and Computing 10 (2001) 219-237, doi:10.1017/S0963548301004631. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0963548301004631
- David Galvin, Jeff Kahn, On phase transition in the hard-core model on , Combinatorics, Probability and Computing 13 (2004) 137-164, doi:10.1017/S0963548303006035. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0963548303006035
- Ron Peled, Wojciech Samotij, Odd cutsets and the hard-core model on , Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré, Probabilités et Statistiques 50 (2014) 975-998, doi:10.1214/12-aihp535. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-aihp535
- Dror Weitz, Counting independent sets up to the tree threshold, Proceedings of the 38th Annual ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing (STOC 2006) 140-149, doi:10.1145/1132516.1132538. https://doi.org/10.1145/1132516.1132538
- Graham R. Brightwell, Olle Häggström, Peter Winkler, Nonmonotonic behavior in hard-core and Widom-Rowlinson models, Journal of Statistical Physics 94 (1999) 415-435, doi:10.1023/A:1004592103315. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1004592103315
- Michael Aizenman, Jean Bricmont, Joel L. Lebowitz, Percolation of the minority spins in high-dimensional Ising models, Journal of Statistical Physics 49 (1987) 859-865, doi:10.1007/BF01009363. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01009363
- Ron Peled, Yinon Spinka, Long-range order in discrete spin systems, arXiv:2010.03177 (2020). https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.03177
- Aran Raoufi, Translation-invariant Gibbs states of the Ising model: General setting, The Annals of Probability 48 (2020) 760-777, doi:10.1214/19-AOP1374. https://doi.org/10.1214/19-AOP1374
- David Galvin, A threshold phenomenon for random independent sets in the discrete hypercube, Combinatorics, Probability and Computing 20 (2011) 27-51, doi:10.1017/S0963548310000155. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0963548310000155
- Matthew Jenssen, Alexandru Malekshahian, Jinyoung Park, A refined graph container lemma and applications to the hard-core model on bipartite expanders, Random Structures & Algorithms 68 (2026) e70041, doi:10.1002/rsa.70041 (preprint arXiv:2411.03393). https://doi.org/10.1002/rsa.70041
- Ijay Narang, Will Perkins, The hard-core model on bipartite spectral expanders: Counting and sampling at all fugacities, arXiv:2608.03848 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.03848
- Lewis Bowen, Marcus Michelen, Will Perkins, A phase transition for the hard sphere model on the hyperbolic plane, arXiv:2607.23873 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.23873
- Ewan Davies, Juspreet Singh Sandhu, Brian Tan, First-order phase transitions in the hard-core model, arXiv:2608.00449 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.00449
- Ijay Narang, Will Perkins, Yuzhou Wang, Timothy L. H. Wee, Computational thresholds for balanced and fixed-slice independent sets in bipartite graphs, arXiv:2608.02503 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.02503