The practicable simulation-free nonlinear moment matching (NLMM) algorithm of Varona, Gebhart, Suk and Lohmann (2019) made Astolfi's steady-state (center-manifold) framework for nonlinear model order reduction implementable: the nonlinear invariant mapping that solves the invariance partial differential equation is replaced by a linear projection whose columns are obtained by solving full-order nonlinear algebraic equations at collocation instants, so that neither a simulation of the full model nor a numerical treatment of the PDE is needed. The price is the loss of essentially all guarantees: it is not known which classes of signal generators adequately characterize a given nonlinear system, the linear projection provably cannot satisfy the invariance equation in general, no a priori or a posteriori error bounds exist for the resulting reduced models, and neither the hyperparameters of the construction (collocation times, number of generators and shifts, tangential directions, deflation rank) nor the cost of up to full-order nonlinear solves has been analyzed. The construction of a theoretically grounded simulation-free nonlinear moment matching method for general nonlinear systems is open.
Background
Model order reduction (MOR) seeks low-dimensional surrogates of large-scale dynamical systems , , (the full-order model, FOM), so that a reduced-order model (ROM) of dimension can be simulated, controlled, or optimized at a small fraction of the cost. For linear time-invariant (LTI) systems, interpolatory methods are a standard simulation-free route: the transfer function is approximated by matching its value and derivatives (the 'moments' , , ...) at chosen interpolation points , which reduces to solving Sylvester equations (linear matrix equations of the form ) and building projection matrices from Krylov subspaces (nested subspaces spanned by powers of applied to input directions).
Astolfi (2010) reinterpreted moment matching in the time domain so that it extends to nonlinear systems. The FOM is driven by an autonomous signal generator , , a low-dimensional system whose trajectories are observable (the input distinguishes all generator states) and locally Poisson-stable (each trajectory neither decays to an equilibrium nor diverges, so that a persistent steady-state response is well defined). For the interconnected system, the moment of the FOM at is the steady-state output map , where maps generator states to FOM states on the attracting invariant manifold (a center manifold) and solves the Sylvester-like invariance partial differential equation, equation (18) of the source paper,
A ROM (of any structure) achieves nonlinear moment matching if its own steady-state output under the same generator coincides with ; it then reproduces the FOM's asymptotic output behavior exactly for the input class generated by . The theory is generator-agnostic, and it was developed by Ionescu and Astolfi (2016), in the Scarciotti-Astolfi monograph (2017), and in a data-driven variant (Scarciotti and Astolfi 2017). The practical obstacle is that solves a nonlinear, state-dependent PDE in high dimension, so exact nonlinear moment matching is unattainable for large-scale systems.
Varona, Gebhart, Suk and Lohmann (2019) proposed a practicable compromise (NLMM), a special case of the general nonlinear Petrov-Galerkin projection (a projection in which the equations are enforced against test mappings chosen independently of the state ansatz) in which the state ansatz is replaced by the linear ansatz . This turns the invariance PDE into algebraic equations which, being underdetermined ( equations for unknowns), are solved column-wise at collocation instants of the generator trajectories, with tangential directions (the input directions along which the individual interpolation conditions are imposed), shifts (interpolation points), and a deflation rank (the rank retained after removing redundant basis columns) controlling the final basis. The offline phase solves up to nonlinear algebraic systems of full dimension (for instance by Newton iterations with initial guesses from linearized models) instead of simulating the FOM or discretizing the PDE; the method is demonstrated on the FitzHugh-Nagumo benchmark, a standard two-variable nonlinear excitable-system model. The authors are explicit about what is lost: the linear projection does not enforce the invariance equation; the linear/exponential generators inherited from the linear theory have a validity for characterizing nonlinear systems that is 'questionable and not completely clear yet'; and no prescription or error analysis is given for the hyperparameters. Four later lines cover restricted fragments of these gaps. For quadratic-bilinear systems (polynomial systems with linear and quadratic terms in the state), Khattak, Ahmad, Feng and Benner (2022) extended a posteriori error bounds (bounds computable from the reduced solution, after the fact) and greedy shift selection from the linear case. Huang and Astolfi (2025) decomposed the invariance PDE for multi-input multi-output (MIMO) polynomial nonlinear systems into recursively solvable Sylvester equations, yielding analytically parametrized ROMs with a stated precision of degree . Padhi and Gugercin (2026) proved that quadratic-manifold projections (state approximations of the form , i.e. linear plus quadratic functions of the reduced coordinates) can match the nonlinear moments of an LTI FOM exactly, with closed-form projection matrices again obtained from Sylvester equations. Doebeli, Astolfi, Kalise, Moreschini, Scarciotti and Simard (2024, revised 2026) went furthest toward the general case: they compute a polynomial (monomial-basis) approximation of the invariance-equation solution itself by a Galerkin residual method with Newton iteration on the expansion coefficients - a simulation-free nonlinear ansatz demonstrated on general nonlinear systems up to state dimension of order 1000, with both linear and nonlinear signal generators - but its accuracy and residual are assessed by numerical experiment only, with no theorems or error bounds. None of these lines delivers provable guarantees - error bounds, residual control, or selection principles - for general nonlinear FOMs, for which the questions raised by the NLMM construction remain unanswered.
Problem Statement
For general nonlinear systems , of large state dimension , establish the theoretical foundations of the simulation-free nonlinear moment matching construction of Varona, Gebhart, Suk and Lohmann (2019). Two interlocking components jointly serve one objective - a reliable simulation-free, system-theoretic nonlinear model reduction method whose construction rests on a justified choice of signal generator and on a projection ansatz that provably respects the invariance equation:
(1) Signal-generator theory. Characterize which classes of signal generators (nonlinear, linear/exponential, constant, or problem-specific trajectories) adequately characterize a given nonlinear system for moment matching; in particular settle whether linear/exponential generators can adequately represent the steady-state behavior of general nonlinear systems, and give a principled, computable selection criterion in place of heuristic choice.
(2) Nonlinear projection ansatzes. Design and analyze computable nonlinear mappings that satisfy the invariance equation exactly or with a provably controlled residual, remain simulation-free in their construction, and are tractable for large - replacing the current linear projection, which cannot satisfy the invariance equation in general.
Quantitative output-error bounds for the reduced models, prescriptions or bounds-driven selection rules for the hyperparameters (collocation times, number of generators and shifts, tangential directions, deflation rank), and analyses of the offline cost of the up-to- full-order nonlinear solves and its scaling in are background for the two components above rather than conditions of this problem.
For general nonlinear systems, component (1) asks for a precise formulation of what it means for a class of signal generators to characterize a nonlinear system, an identified adequate class, and a computable selection criterion; component (2) asks for a computable nonlinear ansatz that satisfies the invariance equation exactly or with a provably controlled residual, remains simulation-free, and is tractable for large . Neither component is settled by partial results: a counterexample against a single candidate class - for instance, an explicit system on which a linear/exponential generator provably fails to characterize the steady-state behavior - is informative partial progress on component (1), but it does not settle that component, since other generator classes may still be adequate and selectable; and results restricted to linear, quadratic-bilinear, or polynomial systems resolve only the corresponding subquestions.
References
- A. Astolfi. Model reduction by moment matching for linear and nonlinear systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 55(10):2321-2336, 2010. DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2010.2046044. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2010.2046044
- M. Cruz Varona, R. Gebhart, J. Suk, B. Lohmann. Practicable Simulation-Free Model Order Reduction by Nonlinear Moment Matching. arXiv:1901.10750, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1901.10750
- M. Cruz Varona, N. Schneucker, B. Lohmann. Nonlinear Moment Matching for the Simulation-Free Reduction of Structural Systems. IFAC-PapersOnLine 52(16):328-333, 2019 (NOLCOS 2019). DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2019.11.801. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2019.11.801
- T. C. Ionescu, A. Astolfi. Nonlinear Moment Matching-Based Model Order Reduction. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 61(10):2837-2847, 2016. DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2015.2502187. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2015.2502187
- G. Scarciotti, A. Astolfi. Nonlinear Model Reduction by Moment Matching. Foundations and Trends in Systems and Control 4(3-4):224-409, 2017. DOI: 10.1561/2600000012. https://doi.org/10.1561/2600000012
- G. Scarciotti, A. Astolfi. Data-driven model reduction by moment matching for linear and nonlinear systems. Automatica 79:340-351, 2017. DOI: 10.1016/j.automatica.2017.01.014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.automatica.2017.01.014
- A. Astolfi, G. Scarciotti, J. Simard, N. Faedo, J. V. Ringwood. Model Reduction by Moment Matching: Beyond Linearity - A Review of the Last 10 Years. 59th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pages 1-16, 2020. DOI: 10.1109/CDC42340.2020.9304389. https://doi.org/10.1109/CDC42340.2020.9304389
- M. A. Khattak, M. I. Ahmad, L. Feng, P. Benner. Multivariate moment-matching for model order reduction of quadratic-bilinear systems using error bounds. Advanced Modeling and Simulation in Engineering Sciences 9:23, 2022. DOI: 10.1186/s40323-022-00236-6. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40323-022-00236-6
- C. Huang, A. Astolfi. Power-Series Approach to Moment-Matching-Based Model Reduction of MIMO Polynomial Nonlinear Systems. arXiv:2508.13595, 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.13595
- R. Padhi, S. Gugercin. Beyond linear subspaces: Nonlinear moment matching meets quadratic manifolds. arXiv:2608.19486, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19486
- C. Doebeli, A. Astolfi, D. Kalise, A. Moreschini, G. Scarciotti, J. Simard. A polynomial approximation scheme for nonlinear model reduction by moment matching. arXiv:2412.13371, 2024 (revised March 2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.13371
- D. Bhattacharjee, A. Moreschini, A. Astolfi. Signal Generator Agnostic Moment Matching. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 2025. DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2025.3576063. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2025.3576063
- A. Padoan. Model reduction by least squares moment matching for linear and nonlinear systems. arXiv:2110.06072, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.06072
- M. F. Shakib, G. Scarciotti, A. Yu. Pogromsky, A. Pavlov, N. van de Wouw. Model reduction by moment matching with preservation of global stability for a class of nonlinear models. Automatica 157:111227, 2023. DOI: 10.1016/j.automatica.2023.111227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.automatica.2023.111227
- D. Rafiq, M. A. Bazaz. Nonlinear Model Order Reduction via Nonlinear Moment Matching with Dynamic Mode Decomposition. International Journal of Non-Linear Mechanics 128:103625, 2021. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijnonlinmec.2020.103625. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnonlinmec.2020.103625
- D. Rafiq, M. A. Bazaz. Model Order Reduction via Moment-Matching: A State of the Art Review. Archives of Computational Methods in Engineering 29(3):1463-1483, 2022 (online 2021). DOI: 10.1007/s11831-021-09618-2. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11831-021-09618-2