The Alon–Tarsi conjecture predicts that for every even the number of even Latin squares of order differs from the number of odd ones; it is known only for with an odd prime, which covers all even orders up to 24, the smallest unsettled order being 26. Kumar and Landsberg proved that for each even the conjecture is equivalent to the rectangular plethysm statement that the irreducible module does not lie in the kernel of the plethysm map (a borderline case of the Hadamard–Howe and Foulkes plethysm program) and to the nonvanishing of explicit Haar integrals over the special unitary group, including and . This problem asks for a resolution of that equivalence class of statements — the Latin-square parity imbalance, the plethysm non-membership, or the integral nonvanishing — for all even .
Background
A Latin square of order is an array with entries in in which every row and every column contains each symbol exactly once. Reading each row (or column) as a permutation of , one defines the row sign (column sign) of the square as the product of the signs of its row (column) permutations, and the sign of the square as the product of the two; a square is even or odd according to this sign. For odd a simple symmetry forces the numbers of even and odd Latin squares to be equal, so the parity question is vacuous. For even , the Alon–Tarsi conjecture predicts that the number of even Latin squares of order differs from the number of odd ones. The conjecture emerged from the authors' study of graph list-coloring (coloring vertices from assigned color lists) via the polynomial method, where this parity difference is the coefficient that governs colorability, and it is equivalent to the column-sign Latin square conjecture of Huang and Rota, which predicts the analogous imbalance for the column sign alone. It is proven for orders with an odd prime (Drisko for , Glynn for ), which covers every even ; the smallest even order not covered is 26, and no even order outside this family is settled.
On the representation-theoretic side, let be a finite-dimensional complex vector space and its -th symmetric power, realized as the space of homogeneous degree- polynomials on the dual space. The plethysm map is the -equivariant map obtained by regrouping a tensor of factors in two ways and symmetrizing; for example . It is an isomorphism when (a classical nineteenth-century result), and Hadamard and Howe expected it to have maximal rank in general — injective for and surjective for . This expectation is false: a computation of Müller and Neunhöffer shows is not injective. The direct sum has kernel equal to the ideal of the Chow variety , the variety of completely decomposable forms (products of linear forms), whose coordinate-ring normalization is . Irreducible polynomial -modules are indexed by partitions and denoted , so one may ask which rectangular modules occur in ; Kumar conjectured that never lies in the kernel. This is closely tied to Foulkes' conjecture (1950): for , every irreducible of the symmetric group should occur in the permutation module induced from the trivial module of the wreath product (the subgroup of block permutations with arbitrary rearrangements inside blocks of size ) at least as often as in the analogous module with the roles of and exchanged. Restricting to weight-zero subspaces identifies the two sides with these induced modules, and the conjecture remains open in general.
On the analytic side, let be the special unitary group of complex matrices with and , equipped with its normalized Haar measure (the unique translation-invariant probability measure). For any -module , averaging over the group, , realizes the projection onto the invariant subspace ; when that subspace is one-dimensional, nonvanishing of the integral of is equivalent to nonvanishing of the pairing of with the invariant functional. In for a multiple of there is, up to scale, a unique -invariant, namely a power of the determinant; the permanent — the determinant with all signs omitted, i.e., the unsigned sum over permutations of products of matrix entries — supplies the natural polynomial to test against it.
The source paper of Kumar and Landsberg proves (its Theorem 1.9) that for each fixed even the following are equivalent: (a) the Alon–Tarsi conjecture for ; (b) for , i.e., the unique -invariant — explicitly a signed sum over -tuples of permutations — evaluates nonzero on , meaning is not in the ideal of the Chow variety; (c) ; (d) the pairing ; (e) ; and (f) the corresponding pairing with . The proof expands the group-averaged invariant and identifies the coefficient of with the column-sign imbalance of Latin squares. The investigation was motivated by geometric complexity theory (GCT), an algebraic-geometric approach to the algebraic-complexity separation — the algebraic analogue of P versus NP, in which and are the classes of polynomial families computed by polynomial-size arithmetic circuits, respectively without and with existentially guessed inputs — through orbit closures of the determinant and permanent polynomials: non-membership of the rectangular modules in the Chow ideal would guarantee that whole families of irreducible representations occur in the coordinate ring of the determinant's orbit closure, providing occurrence obstructions — irreducible representations that occur in the coordinate ring of one orbit closure but not the other, whose existence separates the closures and hence the underlying polynomials. The authors note that the displayed -integrals 'do not appear to be known' and that rectangular () versions of the equivalences can be formulated but are not developed.
Problem Statement
Decide the Alon–Tarsi conjecture: prove, or refute, that for every even positive integer the number of even Latin squares of order is different from the number of odd Latin squares of order (with the sign of a Latin square defined as the product of its row sign and column sign, each the product of the signs of the permutations read off from its rows or columns). By Theorem 1.9 of Kumar–Landsberg, for each even this is equivalent to each of the following, so a uniform resolution of any one of them for all even resolves the problem: (i) for , i.e., the fundamental -invariant evaluates nonzero on , equivalently does not belong to the ideal of the Chow variety ; (ii) ; (iii) ; together with the equivalent pairing statements and . The question concerns every even , including orders such as 26 and 34 that are not of the form ; the cases with an odd prime, covering all even , are known prior results. A refutation consists of a specific even for which the two counts are exactly equal.
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