Stage IV weak-lensing surveys require predictions of the convergence power spectrum in modified gravity (MG) that are accurate on both linear and non-linear scales. Pantiri et al. (2026) made a first step by ray-tracing FLAMINGO simulation maps with a phenomenological modification of the lensing equation (a time-dependent function with hand-imposed, halo- or overdensity-based screening), while keeping matter clustering governed by general relativity (GR). They find percent-level enhancements of the convergence spectrum and a bias in the inferred , showing modified lensing matters at Stage IV precision. The open problem is the full, self-consistent case: convergence maps in which both the clustering (, produced by MG-native simulations) and the lensing relation () are non-trivially modified, with screening determined by the actual environmental density field and the non-linear dynamics of the scalar field rather than by hand-imposed prescriptions, together with the resulting impact on inferred cosmological parameters. As of August 2026 no published work treats this case; the authors list it as future work.
Background
Weak gravitational lensing — the coherent distortion of distant galaxy shapes by the tidal field of intervening matter — is a primary cosmological probe, and Stage IV surveys (Euclid, Rubin Observatory/LSST, Roman) will measure its convergence maps (the projected matter density weighted by lensing geometry, customarily summarized by the angular power spectrum — a function of angular multipole — of the convergence field) with percent-level precision. This demands accurate modeling on both linear and non-linear scales. Extensions of the standard CDM cosmology (cold dark matter plus a cosmological constant) in which gravity deviates from general relativity (GR) on large scales — modified gravity (MG) models — generically alter both how matter clusters and how light is deflected. Viable MG models must be equipped with a screening mechanism (e.g. chameleon, Vainshtein, symmetron, or k-mouflage), which suppresses the deviations from GR in high-density, well-tested environments such as the Solar System and galaxy halos, and which therefore makes the modifications non-linear and environment-dependent on cosmological scales. A standard phenomenological description (Zhang et al. 2007; Pogosian & Silvestri 2016) captures the two effects by two functions of scale factor and wavenumber : the Poisson equation for the Newtonian potential acquires an effective clustering modification , , while the Poisson equation for the lensing potential (the combination of the metric potentials that deflects light) acquires a separate factor , . GR is recovered when ; a mismatch between them corresponds to a gravitational slip between the two potentials. Most non-linear MG studies to date (e.g. the MGLenS suite of Harnois-Déraps et al. 2023, built on the FORGE and BRIDGE suites of -gravity (gravity theories in which the gravitational action is generalized to a function of the Ricci scalar) and normal-branch DGP (the stable branch of the Dvali–Gabadadze–Porrati braneworld gravity model) -body simulations, and the convergence maps of Hoyland et al. 2025 generated with the COLA method (COmoving Lagrangian Acceleration, a fast approximate -body technique)) simulate modified clustering but compute the lensing signal with the standard GR prescription — a good approximation for and DGP, where the lensing modification is tiny. Conversely, ray-traced lensing with a genuinely modified lensing equation has been explored only rarely, notably by Barreira et al. (2017) for normal-branch DGP and a phenomenological variant with a directly modified lensing potential, using stacked convergence profiles around under- and overdense lines of sight. Pantiri et al. (2026) bridged part of this gap: using the backward ray-tracing pipeline of Broxterman et al. (2024) applied to the FLAMINGO hydrodynamical simulation light cones (which assume GR), they multiplied the lensing-source term by with a value motivated by current constraints from DESI (the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument survey), and imposed screening by hand with two prescriptions — reverting to GR lensing inside the virial radii of halos above a mass threshold, or inside pixels above an overdensity threshold. They found that the convergence power spectrum is enhanced by about 5% at (decreasing towards small scales where screening operates), that the two screening prescriptions differ on small scales, and that fitting these MG spectra with a standard GR CDM model biases (the present-day amplitude of matter fluctuations) by more than — a larger effect than baryonic feedback for their setup. However, this analysis is a limiting case: the density maps still cluster as in GR (), the screening is a hand-imposed mask with known artifacts (the screened spectra fail to converge to the unscreened one on large scales, which in the updated journal-version discussion the authors explain as a consequence of the masking prescription itself — the screened regions are a biased selection of the sky, so within this implementation there is no one-to-one correspondence between screened regions and small scales — rather than of the GR density maps), and the halo-based method is only usable on hydrodynamical runs. Realistic MG models modify clustering and lensing simultaneously, with screening that depends on the full environmental density field and on the non-linear dynamics of the underlying scalar field.
Problem Statement
Construct the full, self-consistent case that Pantiri et al. (2026) deliberately left open: predictions of the weak-lensing convergence power spectrum (via ray tracing through simulated light cones) in screened modified gravity in which both the clustering of matter is non-trivially modified (, requiring simulations that themselves evolve structure under the modified theory rather than under GR) and the lensing equation is non-trivially modified (), with the screening that suppresses these modifications in dense environments determined by the full environmental density field and the non-linear dynamics of the underlying scalar field, instead of the hand-imposed halo-radius or overdensity-threshold masks used in the source analysis. The single overarching objective is a self-consistent Stage-IV-level prediction of the modified-lensing observable and its observational consequences for modifications that are sizeable at Stage-IV precision — of the order of the percent-level convergence-spectrum enhancement produced by the DESI-motivated in the source analysis, or the comparable level predicted by any screened modified-gravity theory whose convergence-spectrum modification is of that order — rather than for a model observationally indistinguishable from CDM, jointly supported by the following linked components: (i) MG-native density maps (e.g. modified-gravity runs of the FLAMINGO suite) ray-traced with the modified lensing prescription, replacing the hand-imposed phenomenological screening masks that were applied to GR density maps; and (ii) characterization of the resulting convergence power spectra and of the bias in inferred CDM parameters (e.g. , ). In this case the clustering modification and the lensing modification are simultaneously active and mutually consistent (the same underlying theory producing the growth, the lensing, and the environmental screening).
References
- Pantiri, M., Schaller, M., Silvestri, A., Broxterman, J. C., & Schaye, J. (2026). Ray-traced weak lensing convergence in screened modified gravity theories. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 551. DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stag1523; arXiv:2604.08393. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stag1523
- Barreira, A., Bose, S., Li, B., & Llinares, C. (2017). Weak lensing by galaxy troughs with modified gravity. Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, 2017(02), 031. DOI: 10.1088/1475-7516/2017/02/031; arXiv:1605.08436. https://doi.org/10.1088/1475-7516/2017/02/031
- Harnois-Déraps, J., Hernandez-Aguayo, C., Cuesta-Lazaro, C., Arnold, C., Li, B., Davies, C. T., & Cai, Y.-C. (2023). MGLenS: modified gravity weak lensing simulations for emulation-based cosmological inference. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 525, 6336–6358. DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stad2700; arXiv:2211.05779. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stad2700
- Hoyland, S., Winther, H. A., Saadeh, D., Koyama, K., & Izard, A. (2025). Fast generation of weak lensing maps in modified gravity with COLA. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 541, 3167–3183. DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staf1071. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/staf1071
- Zhang, P., Liguori, M., Bean, R., & Dodelson, S. (2007). Probing gravity at cosmological scales by measurements which test the relationship between gravitational lensing and matter overdensity. Physical Review Letters, 99, 141302. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.99.141302. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.99.141302
- Pogosian, L., & Silvestri, A. (2016). What can cosmology tell us about gravity? Constraining Horndeski gravity with and . Physical Review D, 94, 104014. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevD.94.104014. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.94.104014
- Broxterman, J. C., Schaller, M., Schaye, J., Hoekstra, H., Kuijken, K., Helly, J. C., Kugel, R., Braspenning, J., Elbers, W., Frenk, C. S., Kwan, J., McCarthy, I. G., Salcido, J., van Daalen, M. P., & Vandenbroucke, B. (2024). The FLAMINGO project: baryonic impact on weak gravitational lensing convergence peak counts. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 529(3), 2309–2326. DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stae698; arXiv:2312.08450. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stae698